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Tennis is one of the most wagered sports in the world. The number of people who bet on tennis may not be that large compared to certain sports, but the volume of bets accepted by bookmakers in the tennis markets is huge.
Every week there are usually 2-3 ATP/WTA tennis tournaments, although some weeks there are even more tournaments to bet on. Smaller tournaments have the best value in the betting markets and ideally you should spend more time handicapping them.
Betting on major Grand Slam tennis tournaments is something everyone does and bookies spend months making sure their lines are accurate. With smaller tournaments, bookmakers throw in odds that can be taken advantage of, but you have to be quick.
In tennis there are tons of high volume traders and arbers that the average punter has to worry about. To bet on a line that has value, you have to be very fast. Now I am going to share some tips for handicap tennis matches that you should use.
Methods for Predicting Tennis Matches
Most tennis bettors will be looking for basic stats like H2H, especially now that these stats are available online for free on numerous websites. H2H stats are important to take into account, but you should know that a tennis player with a great H2H record against his opponent will factor that into his odds.
Often tennis players will be overrated in the betting markets when they have a great record against their opponent. This doesn’t mean you should avoid betting on the player with the best H2H stats, but you should make sure you watch the match more closely.
One of the best tips I can give you is to understand the different court surfaces when betting on tennis. A player who excels on grass courts may have a lot of difficulties when he plays on clay courts. It’s not uncommon to see high-ranked players lose to tennis players who are unknown to the casual viewer.
Recent form is not something I watch very closely with higher ranked players as they can be terrible one week and win the next week. I look at recent form to see if there has been a trending pattern of bad play, but don’t let one or two bad games influence your betting decision too much.
You should always look at how a player looks mentally on the court as well. Tennis is as much a mental as a physical sport. Tennis players can fall into depression when they lose confidence and you should never be with a player who struggles with their mental game because the player is too unpredictable.
Finally, you want to take a close look at the odds in tennis. Dozens of renowned bookmakers publish odds on tennis matches every week. You should always make sure that you are betting with the best possible odds. You also need to know if the odds are “steam” or “drift”. You shouldn’t bet on odds when they are drifting as you can wait until you can get a better price on the tennis player you want to bet on.